Intermediary confidence increases in Q1: Imla – Mortgage Strategy

Intermediary confidence in the outlook for the mortgage business elevated in Q1 2024, with 24% of advisers describing themselves as ‘very assured’ in comparison with 14% in the quarter prior, the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (Imla) reveals.

The newest mortgage market tracker discovered that 62% have been ‘pretty assured’ in regards to the future in comparison with 60% in the earlier quarter.

The proportion of advisers describing themselves as ‘very assured’ or ‘pretty assured’ in the middleman sector rose to 88%, up from 84% in the earlier quarter.

Confidence of that stage has not been recorded since Q2 2022, previous the Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng Autumn price range occasion.

Intermediary confidence in the outlook for his or her companies remained optimistic, with 42% saying they have been ‘very assured’ and 53% ‘pretty assured.

The share of advisers who stated they have been ‘not very’ or ‘by no means’ assured fell away to virtually nothing, a consequence not recorded for the reason that second quarter of 2021.

The common variety of mortgage instances positioned by intermediaries yearly was barely down at 92 per yr, in comparison with 95 in This fall 2023, primarily as a result of a subdued January.

Mortgage brokers positioned a mean of 96 instances, whereas unbiased monetary advisers (IFAs) reported a mean of 69.

Residential lending continued to account for round two-thirds of intermediaries’ enterprise, purchase to let (BTL) round 1 / 4, with a slight enhance in specialist to roughly one in 11 instances.

Within residential there was a slight lower in the proportion of product transfers and a small rise in movers, with first-time purchaser (FTBs) and remortgage exercise remaining steady.

Meanwhile, the buy-to-let (BTL) sector noticed a marginal enhance in restricted firm exercise.

The tracker discovered that the typical variety of selections in precept (DIPs) that intermediaries processed remained steady at 23, the identical because the earlier quarter and Q1 2023, however down from the determine of 30 that was recorded in August final yr.

Conversions from DIP to completion elevated to 42%, up from 38% in This fall 2023 and an 8% enhance year-on-year.

The general conversion charge was broadly comparable throughout all market segments, with a slight rise of 9% in specialist.

The conversion charge from full utility to completion additionally elevated to 63%, up from 61% in the quarter prior.

Conversion charges for specialist-focused brokers have been up by 67%, a 7% enhance on the earlier quarter, whereas the determine for FTB-focused brokers fell to 52%, down 7% on the earlier quarter.

Imla government director Kate Davies feedback: “The mortgage market has proved to be remarkably resilient by a really powerful financial interval, and these outcomes recommend rising optimism.”

“Intermediaries have remained upbeat in regards to the outlook for their very own companies for a while, however their confidence in the outlook for the broader mortgage market has improved sharply this yr. This might be a mirrored image of extra constructive sentiment ensuing from quickly falling inflation and the prospect of decrease rates of interest sooner or later in 2024.”

“There has been an uptick in exercise in the specialist sector, and it is going to be attention-grabbing to see whether or not this continues, as debtors’ monetary circumstances develop into more and more advanced.”