Construction output dips in Feb but bullish forecast – Mortgage Finance Gazette

Monthly building output decreased 1.9% in quantity phrases in February 2024; this follows a 1.1% improve in January 2024, This is based on the most recent building output information from the Office of National Statistics (ONS).

The lower in month-to-month output got here from decreases in each new work (2.3% fall), and restore and upkeep (1.4% fall).

At the sector stage, eight out of the 9 sectors noticed a fall in February 2024, with the principle contributors to the month-to-month lower seen in non-housing restore and upkeep, and personal business new work, which decreased 2.5% and 4.0%, respectively; the one improve was non-public housing restore and upkeep, which grew 0.2%.

Commenting on the most recent figures Beard Construction finance director Fraser Johns stated:: “After January’s improve in building output bucked the pattern of the earlier three consecutive month-to-month falls, it will be tempting to assume that February’s figures are a moist squib.  However, it’s evident from the ONS and our expertise that poor climate had loads to do with it, with heavy rainfall resulting in delays in deliberate work and reducing output in February.”

He added: “While there are ongoing pressures on the business, together with some remaining uncertainty round inflation, we shouldn’t let these newest figures shadow a brighter outlook and we shouldn’t let this small decline in output dampen the rising optimism we’re seeing on the bottom.”

FRP, restructuring advisory accomplice Allan Kelly defined that February’s information outlined the development business’s unsure state, having posted development on the very begin of the yr.

“Overall output is closely linked to the housebuilding sector, which has been subdued by excessive rates of interest for greater than 18 months now and continues to behave as a drag on efficiency.”

He continued: “With the bottom charge forecast to fall in the approaching months, inflation dropping – each of which ought to assist put a reimbursement into individuals’s pockets – and the federal government having not too long ago printed its long-awaited steerage on second stairways in tall buildings, contractors will likely be hopeful of a resi-led restoration by means of the course of the summer time.”